Wednesday 07 Oct 2026
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(Sept 7): Palm oil rose as traders weighed the risk of supply disruptions from forest fires raging across Indonesia, the world’s biggest producer.

Benchmark futures climbed as much as 0.9% to RM4,975 per tonne in Kuala Lumpur as acrid haze from the fires blanketed large parts of Southeast Asia. Some harvesting has been disrupted, with farm workers drafted into firefighting efforts while palm fruit growth can also be affected by smoke and reduced sunlight.

The latest price move “reflects the haze situation in Indonesia, which is getting worse”, said David Ng, a senior trader at Iceberg X Sdn. The market is “concerned about the dry and hazy situation affecting output”, he said, adding that the tropical commodity was also supported by higher crude and vegetable oil prices. Elevated crude prices tend to make biofuels more competitive, boosting demand for palm oil.

While forest fires and the accompanying haze are a regular occurrence in Southeast Asia, often attributed to traditional and commercial land-clearing practices, this year’s severe El Niño weather pattern is intensifying and prolonging the adverse impacts.

That has created the conditions for wildfires and the spread of cross-border haze by prevailing southeasterly and southwesterly winds, the Asean Specialised Meteorological Centre said last week in its latest outlook. An expected increase in showers around October, ahead of the wet season, could ease the fire and haze situation, it added.

More than 202,000ha have been burned across the Indonesian islands of Borneo and Sumatra, and pollution levels have spiked both at home and in nearby countries including Singapore, Malaysia and the Philippines.

Drivers:

  • Oil gains as US attacks on Iranian ships raise escalation risks.
  • Malaysia Sept 1-5 palm oil exports rise 59.19% month on month — Intertek.
  • Ringgit steady; bond yields up; stocks up — Inside Malaysia.

Prices:

  • Palm for November delivery on Bursa Malaysia Derivatives +0.8% to RM4,967/tonne as of midday break.
  • Refined palm oil for January on the Dalian Commodity Exchange: +1.1% to 10,320 yuan/tonne.
  • Soybean oil for January: +0.2% to 9,164 yuan/tonne.
  • Soybean oil’s premium over palm oil is ~US$301/tonne versus the average US$262/tonne in the past year; data compiled by Bloomberg.
  • Chicago agricultural markets closed on Monday for public holiday.

Uploaded by Arion Yeow

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