Thursday 17 Sep 2026
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(Aug 7): US support for Japan’s efforts to prop up the yen is unlikely to damage the dollar’s status as the most dominant reserve currency in the world, according to Goldman Sachs Group Inc.

Japan is the biggest foreign investor in the US$31 trillion Treasuries market, and last month’s joint currency intervention has stirred some concern that US support for the yen — likely aimed at preventing unwanted volatility in US bonds — could erode confidence in dollar reserves. Such an argument assumes the US might try to hinder others from selling Treasuries in the future, Goldman said.

“This seems like quite a leap,” strategists including Michael Cahill wrote in a note. “We are sceptical of arguments that this is negative for the dollar’s reserve status.”

The bank pointed to Japan’s access to the Federal Reserve’s Foreign and International Monetary Authorities (Fima) Repo Facility, which allows foreign central banks to raise dollars against their Treasuries without selling them. It said that highlights a key advantage of the dollar: deep capital markets for building reserves in normal times and access to liquidity during periods of stress.

“We believe Treasury’s actions and the availability and utility of the Fima facility help demonstrate that no one else can come close to competing with the US dollar’s usefulness, network effects, and supporting infrastructure right now,” the strategists added. 

The joint campaign by Washington and Tokyo to shore up the yen is the first of its kind in almost three decades. While the move was carried out via the euro to avoid disrupting the Treasuries market, some investors have raised concerns that direct US support for the yen could inadvertently weaken the dollar and dent the appeal of US bonds as reserve assets.

The mechanics of the intervention have also drawn scrutiny. The Financial Times reported that the US blindsided the European Central Bank last week, only informing officials in Frankfurt after it sold euros to buy yen. 

The yen has since surrendered nearly half of its intervention-driven gains, trading around 158.34 per dollar in Asia Friday. Bloomberg’s dollar gauge has slipped 0.1% this week. 

That’s not to say Goldman sees no risks to the dollar’s dominance. The strategists acknowledged that policy uncertainty can weigh on its global role — a concern that was central to their bearish dollar view in 2025. But they said that applying those concerns to the US support for the yen is a stretch.

The bank said there’s precedent for countries tapping their Treasury holdings to support their currencies without prompting objections from Washington. In March, for example, several of them sold significant quantities of Treasuries to support their currencies amid signs of market strain.

“We think episodes like this of forced sales actually help reinforce the dollar’s role over time,” the strategists wrote.

Uploaded by Liza Shireen Koshy

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