“For now, we should enjoy it,” Jaensubhakij said at the Milken Institute Asia Summit 2024. “But just be prepared that you have tight labour markets across the US, Europe, Japan, and so the risk of inflation coming back sooner may be there.”
(Sept 20): GIC Pte Ltd group chief investment officer (CIO) Jeffrey Jaensubhakij has warned that the market exuberance following Wednesday’s outsized interest-rate cut could be short-lived amid the risk of rising inflation.
The sovereign wealth fund investor said that with a US election cycle underway, politicians could push unnecessary stimulus into the market, in an effort to win votes.
Jaensubhakij’s comments were broadly reflective of a panel that provided tips for other investors on surviving a potential downturn. He added that many of the companies GIC had backed need to borrow funds and wanted rates to drop further.
“In some ways, the interest-rate markets are saying [that] you need to cut rates by enough, as if we’re going into a recession, but the equity markets on the other hand still say we’re going to re-accelerate the economy and earnings growth is going to come back,” he said. “Only one of them will be right.”
Speaking on the same panel, Hillhouse founder Zhang Lei suggested using technology to enhance the skills and processes of businesses, while Granite Asia senior managing partner Jenny Lee said the days of 1,000 times in returns in Asia’s venture capital space were over.
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