(March 5): Malaysia, the second-biggest palm oil producer, expects Asia and Africa to soak up any supply that becomes available from export disruptions to Europe after the bloc’s new deforestation laws come into effect.
The European Union (EU) has put in place rules that stop products causing forest destruction from being sold in shops and supermarkets. Most companies have until the end of the year to comply with the EU Deforestation Regulation, which covers commodities from palm oil to cocoa and coffee. Critics say the rules especially punish smaller farmers.
EU imports of palm, used in everything from ice cream to shampoo and fuel, already dropped about 5% last year, with shipments from Indonesia, Malaysia and Thailand, the largest growers, particularly hit. But that loss will be offset by increasing demand in Asia and Africa, where the population is rising, said Carl Bek-Nielsen, chairman of the Malaysian Palm Oil Council.
Prices of palm oil will hold in a range of RM3,800 (US$803) to RM4,250 a tonne this year, underpinned by supply shortages and strong demand for the tropical oil, Bek-Nielsen said in an interview in Kuala Lumpur on Monday (March 4). He is also chief executive director of United Plantations Bhd. Benchmark futures closed at RM3,938 on Monday.
The EU regulations may “amputate” millions of smallholders from the supply chain, Bek-Nielsen said, as they don’t have the necessary tracking systems and are struggling with issues from ageing trees to declining yields. The regulations should be delayed until they are made more inclusive for smallholders, which make up about 35% to 45% of production in Indonesia and Malaysia, and up to 90% in Thailand.
“This vehicle may have had good intentions, but it has severe blind spots and it is heading straight toward a huge brick wall,” Bek-Nielsen said. “We have not fully appreciated the complexity of the supply chain involving smallholders.”
Read also:
World’s biggest palm oil exchange on Bursa to launch soyoil futures
Plantation Ministry mulls smallholders’ consolidation to increase palm oil yield
Growth seen in Malaysian palm oil industry this year due to positive outlook — Bursa chairman
Sime Darby Plantation sees higher 2024 output as labour situation eases
Palm oil supply woes to bolster prices this year, Mistry says
United Plantations sees palm oil prices ranging between RM3,850 and RM4,250 in 2024
Oleochemicals industry to grow in the near term with Asia-Pacific leading
UOB Kay Hian sees CPO prices to trade in the range of RM3,800-RM4,200/tonne for 2024